Esteghlal Tehran vs Sepahan
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4024
4023 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−212.8u
over 4023u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W7
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 762 | 55.5%52%–59% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1511 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1529 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
920
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2028 | 68.6% | −85.5u |
| Match winner | 1996 | 60.4% | −127.3u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 341 | 61.3% | −40.4u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 207 | 59.4% | +18.8u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4024 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 6m before
Football · MLS
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Basketball · WNBA
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie D. Semi-finals. First leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Women. NWSL
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 22m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 22m before
Football · Serie C. Group B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 6m before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 36m before
Football · Segunda Division
X2Double Chance
· first seen 36m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 36m before
Football · Serie C. Group B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 6m before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 6m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 6m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 21m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteghlal Tehran vs SepahanFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Sao Bernardo vs Nautico CapibaribeFootball · Serie B | first seen 6m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| New England Revolution vs New York CityFootball · MLS | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Melgar vs Alianza LimaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Delfin vs Deportivo AucasFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Hajduk Split vs OsijekFootball · Premier League | first seen 6m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.02 · −6.0% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh PiratesBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Union Comercio vs Carlos ManucciFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.60 · +4.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati RedsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 5-3 | WON |
| Dallas Wings (w) vs Seattle Storm (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 92-70 | WON |
| Seattle Mariners vs Chicago CubsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 2-19 | WON |
| San Diego Padres vs Minnesota TwinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 8-1 | WON |
| ASA Arapiraca vs SE GamaFootball · Serie D. Semi-finals. First leg | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Washington Spirit (w) vs Orlando Pride (w)Football · Women. NWSL | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.68 · +1.8% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Belgrano vs Defensa y JusticiaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.77 · −1.7% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Alanyaspor vs BesiktasFootball · Superleague | first seen 22m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.90 · +11.8% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Vanspor vs IstanbulsporFootball · League 1 | first seen 22m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 3-2 | LOST |
| Perugia vs Ostia MareFootball · Serie C. Group B | first seen 6m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Elche vs BarcelonaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 36m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.33 · −1.5% CLV | 0-5 | WON |
| Tenerife vs AlmeriaFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 36m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Porto vs AroucaFootball · Premier League | first seen 36m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.20 · −4.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Grosseto vs SpeziaFootball · Serie C. Group B | first seen 6m before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Temperley vs Ferrocarril MidlandFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 6m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Zrinjski Mostar vs Zeljeznicar SarajevoFootball · Premier League | first seen 6m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.27 · +13.4% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Vikingur Reykjavik vs Valur ReykjavikFootball · Premier League | first seen 21m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.25 · −6.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.