Boyaca Chico vs Fortaleza Zipaquira
Football · Serie A
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
- Feed close
- 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.75 · +7.8% CLV
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 45m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4001
4000 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−216.1u
over 4000u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L2
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 749 | 55.3%52%–59% | −0.6pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1506 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.9pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1524 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
897
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2023 | 68.6% | −85.9u |
| Match winner | 1978 | 60.3% | −130.2u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 341 | 61.3% | −40.4u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 197 | 59.4% | +17.7u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4001 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boyaca Chico vs Fortaleza ZipaquiraFootball · Serie A | first seen 45m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.75 · +7.8% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Cumbaya vs LDU PortoviejoFootball · Division 2. Relegation Group | first seen 15m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Seattle Mariners vs Philadelphia PhilliesBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 0-6 | WON |
| San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh PiratesBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Los Angeles Angels vs Cleveland GuardiansBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 3-4 | WON |
| Al Talaba vs NewrozFootball · Superleague | first seen 37m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati RedsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 9-10 | LOST |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs Chicago CubsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Viking vs Dinamo ZagrebFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg | first seen 52m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Al-Diriyah vs Al-KholoodFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Al Minaa vs Al GarafFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Petrojet vs Talaa El GeishFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Moss vs SogndalFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Stromsgodset vs HoddFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.25 · +5.0% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Polokwane City vs MilfordFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Golden Arrows vs StellenboschFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Mamelodi Sundowns vs AmaZuluFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.23 · −6.8% CLV | 5-2 | WON |
| Richards Bay vs Kaizer ChiefsFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 2.00 · +7.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Rapid Vienna vs HeartsFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.60 · +6.7% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Detroit Tigers vs Tampa Bay RaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Odd vs KongsvingerFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.20 · +4.8% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Asane vs LynFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.93 · +8.4% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Stabaek vs RanheimFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.38 · +2.2% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Strommen vs RaufossFootball · Division 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Qizilqum Zarafshon vs NasafFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.