Celje vs Koper
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 17m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3911
3910 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.7u
over 3910u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W5
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 723 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1479 | 62.5%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
807
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1985 | 68.6% | −83.8u |
| Match winner | 1926 | 60.5% | −124.9u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 727 | 67.3% | −20.5u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3911 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 17m before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 17m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 12m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 12m before
Football · Division 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Women. NWSL
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Primera division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 21h before
Football · Primera C Metropolitana
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 54m before
Football · Women. Primera division
X2Double Chance
· first seen 54m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celje vs KoperFootball · Superleague | first seen 17m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets RazgradFootball · League 1 | first seen 17m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.50 · −1.3% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Zrinjski Mostar vs Siroki BrijegFootball · Premier League | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.25 · +2.5% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Slask WroclawFootball · Superleague | first seen 17m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Houston Astros vs Arizona DiamondbacksBaseball · MLB | first seen 12m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue JaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 12m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | — | 6-1 | LOST |
| Alianza Universidad vs Union MinasFootball · Division 2 | first seen 2m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 3.95+29559/202.95+2.95-0.34from 3.10 · −21.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Denver Summit (w) vs Gotham (w)Football · Women. NWSL | first seen 2m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Loznica vs TeleoptikFootball · League 1 | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.70 · +21.4% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| UAI Urquiza vs Argentino MerloFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Agropecuario vs Atletico de RafaelaFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 2m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Atletico San Miguel vs Godoy CruzFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Penya Encarnada vs Atletic EscaldesFootball · Primera division | first seen 21h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.40 · −15.2% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Deportivo Paraguayo vs Leandro Niceforo AlemFootball · Primera C Metropolitana | first seen 2m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 4-1 | LOST |
| Al Shabab Al Ahmadi vs KazmaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Baltika vs Lokomotiv MoscowFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.05 · +2.5% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| O'Higgins vs Union La CaleraFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.70 · −4.5% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Rosario Central vs Newell's Old BoysFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Miami Marlins vs Chicago CubsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 1:6 | WON |
| New York Mets vs San Francisco GiantsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 4-2 | WON |
| Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles AngelsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 4-0 | LOST |
| Dinamo Tirana vs ElbasaniFootball · Superleague | first seen 54m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Logrono (w) vs Athletic Bilbao (w)Football · Women. Primera division | first seen 54m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.