Luton Town vs Stockport County
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 47m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3928
3927 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−210.2u
over 3927u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 731 | 55.1%52%–59% | −0.8pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1483 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1499 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
824
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 92 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1991 | 68.6% | −84.2u |
| Match winner | 1937 | 60.4% | −126.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 731 | 67.2% | −21.2u |
| Superleague | 331 | 60.7% | −41.9u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3928 picks with a captured kickoff.
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Football · Superleague
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Handball · Bundesliga
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Football · Regional League. West
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· first seen 46m before
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Football · Premier League
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Football · Premier League
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Football · Premier League
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· first seen 16m before
Handball · Bundesliga
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 16m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 16m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luton Town vs Stockport CountyFootball · League 1 | first seen 47m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Millwall vs WrexhamFootball · Championship | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0:3 | LOST |
| Dundee vs St JohnstoneFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.55 · −3.8% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Kilmarnock vs Saint MirrenFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Siroki Brijeg vs SarajevoFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Texas Rangers vs AthleticsBaseball · MLB | first seen 37m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | — | 8:1 | WON |
| Salzburg vs Rapid ViennaFootball · Bundesliga | first seen 32m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.85 · +2.8% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| FC Luzern vs VaduzFootball · Superleague | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Thun vs Lausanne SportsFootball · Superleague | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 2.00 · +2.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Sint-Truidense vs Union Saint-GilloiseFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Borac Banja Luka vs Zeljeznicar SarajevoFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.37 · +5.4% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Grasshoppers Zurich vs Sankt GallenFootball · Superleague | first seen 32m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.70 · +8.3% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Aluminij vs CeljeFootball · Superleague | first seen 2m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Rhein-Neckar Lowen vs VFL GummersbachHandball · Bundesliga | first seen 2m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.18 · +1.4% CLV | 26-31 | WON |
| Hibernians vs VallettaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Ceramika Cleopatra vs FutureFootball · Premier League | first seen 16m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| AGF Aarhus vs MidtjyllandFootball · Superleague | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Bohemians Prague vs JablonecFootball · Superleague | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.55 · +6.3% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Sportfreunde Lotte vs Bergisch Gladbach 09Football · Regional League. West | first seen 46m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.65 · 0.0% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Wiedenbruck vs Borussia Monchengladbach 2Football · Regional League. West | first seen 46m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.80 · +2.9% CLV | 1-4 | WON |
| Dinamo Minsk vs Naftan NovopolotskFootball · Premier League | first seen 46m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.15 · +0.9% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Mamelodi Sundowns vs MilfordFootball · Premier League | first seen 46m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.20 · −4.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Abu Qair Semad vs Al Ittihad AlexandriaFootball · Premier League | first seen 16m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| HC Erlangen vs TSV Hannover-BurgdorfHandball · Bundesliga | first seen 16m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.48 · 0.0% CLV | 28-28 | LOST |
| Sivasspor vs Mardin BBFootball · League 1 | first seen 16m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 2.90 · −4.9% CLV | 2-2 | WON |
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