Igdir Belediyespor vs Manisa
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-4
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3921
3920 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−210.5u
over 3920u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 728 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1481 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.9pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1497 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
817
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 92 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1989 | 68.5% | −85.0u |
| Match winner | 1932 | 60.4% | −125.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 330 | 60.6% | −42.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3921 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2m before
Baseball · NPB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · KBO
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · KBO
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · KBO
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · KBO
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · KBO
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · NPB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · LMB. Semi-finals. Best of 7
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · LMB. Semi-finals. Best of 7
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 31m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 11m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1m before
Football · USL. League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · USL. League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3d 1h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igdir Belediyespor vs ManisaFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 2-4 | LOST |
| Isloch Minsk vs BATE BorisovFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.68 · +8.4% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Arys vs EkibastuzFootball · League 1 | first seen 2m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Chunichi Dragons vs Hiroshima Toyo CarpBaseball · NPB | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 2-5 | LOST |
| NC Dinos vs KIA TigersBaseball · KBO | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 3:2 | WON |
| KT Wiz Suwon vs Hanwha EaglesBaseball · KBO | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | — | 3-11 | LOST |
| Kiwoom Heroes vs SSG LandersBaseball · KBO | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 3-2 | LOST |
| Doosan Bears vs LG TwinsBaseball · KBO | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 1:3 | WON |
| Samsung Lions vs Lotte GiantsBaseball · KBO | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 8:5 | WON |
| Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Hanshin TigersBaseball · NPB | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 6:2 | LOST |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis CardinalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | — | 6-8 | LOST |
| Los Angeles Angels vs New York YankeesBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 3-6 | WON |
| Sultanes Monterrey vs Toros de TijuanaBaseball · LMB. Semi-finals. Best of 7 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 1-10 | WON |
| Independiente Santa Fe vs MillonariosFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Pericos de Puebla vs Olmecas de TabascoBaseball · LMB. Semi-finals. Best of 7 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 5-6 | LOST |
| Deportes Limache vs NublenseFootball · Serie A | first seen 31m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Houston Astros vs Chicago White SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 11m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Barcelona Guayaquil vs Independiente del ValleFootball · Premier League | first seen 1m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.87 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Forward Madison vs One KnoxvilleFootball · USL. League 1 | first seen 1m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee BrewersBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | — | 5-9 | LOST |
| Kansas City Royals vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 6-9 | WON |
| Minnesota Twins vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 6-11 | LOST |
| Westchester vs Chattanooga Red WolvesFootball · USL. League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| CA Colegiales vs Ferrocarril MidlandFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 3d 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Cleveland Guardians vs Toronto Blue JaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 0-11 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.