Hobro vs Hvidovre
Football · 1st Division
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-3
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3918
3917 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3917u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W2
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 728 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1495 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
814
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 92 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1987 | 68.5% | −84.4u |
| Match winner | 1931 | 60.5% | −124.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3918 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hobro vs HvidovreFootball · 1st Division | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Omonia May 29 vs KarmiotissaFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Septemvri Sofia vs Botev VratsaFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.35 · −11.3% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Karvina vs KladnoFootball · League 2 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Sellier and Bellot Vlasim vs TrinecFootball · League 2 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.58 · +0.6% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Spain (w) vs Germany (w)Basketball · Women. Germany. Group stage | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.04+10426/251.04+1.04-0.96derived | — | 83-53 | WON |
| Al Qadsia Kuwait vs Al Nasr Al FarwaniyahFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| KalPa vs JukuritIce Hockey · Liiga | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.55 · −3.1% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Belgium (w) vs Turkey (w)Basketball · Women. Germany. Group stage | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10derived | — | 89-75 | WON |
| Polissya Zhytomyr vs KudrovkaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.22 · +1.7% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Pakhtakor vs AndijanFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.73 · +15.3% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Al Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ain Abu DhabiFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.16 · −7.2% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| CSM Slatina vs Chindia TargovisteFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 2.08 · +2.5% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Toktogul vs TalantFootball · Premier league | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Nasaf vs Neftchi FargonaFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 1.87 · −5.1% CLV | 6-2 | LOST |
| Al Shamal vs Al ShahaniyaFootball · Stars League | first seen 3d 19h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 4.10+31031/103.10+3.10-0.32from 3.85 · −6.1% CLV | 2:1 | LOST |
| Navbahor vs Lokomotiv TashkentFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Qabala vs ImisliFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Kaspiy Aktau 2 vs Turan TurkistanFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| South Korea (w) vs Nigeria (w)Basketball · Women. Germany. Group stage | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 99-81 | WON |
| Bunyodkor Tashkent vs SurkhonFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Herentals vs Bulawayo ChiefsFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| USA (w) vs China (w)Basketball · Women. Germany. Group stage | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10derived | — | 94-61 | WON |
| Pattani vs BG Pathum UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Bali United vs PSS SlemanFootball · League 1 | first seen 2m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
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