Bastia vs Amiens
Football · Ligue 3
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-3
· first seen 47m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Ligue 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Ligue 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Bundesliga 3
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · League 1. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · 1st Division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Regional League. West
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · 2 division
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Bundesliga 3
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Ligue 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2m before
Football · Division 2. Group 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · 2 division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 44m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 44m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 49m before
Football · Championship
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 44m before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 44m before
Football · Division 2. Group 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 14m before
Football · Bundesliga 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 14m before
Football · Bundesliga 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 14m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 14m before
Football · Division 2. North
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 14m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastia vs AmiensFootball · Ligue 3 | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Versailles vs CannesFootball · Ligue 3 | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Rayong vs PrachuapFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Hansa Rostock vs Wehen WiesbadenFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.62 · +1.2% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Chelyabinsk vs Spartak KostromaFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Fredericia vs EsbjergFootball · 1st Division | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.45 · +1.4% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Bocholt vs Sportfreunde SiegenFootball · Regional League. West | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88from 2.45 · +15.0% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| FC Roskilde vs VSK AarhusFootball · 2 division | first seen 2m before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Waldhof Mannheim vs VerlFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.10 · +10.5% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Metz vs RodezFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 2m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 4-1 | WON |
| Skeid vs KjelsasFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 2m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV | 4-1 | LOST |
| Middelfart vs Fremad AmagerFootball · 2 division | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Preston North End vs Blackburn RoversFootball · Championship | first seen 44m before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Stoke City vs Charlton AthleticFootball · Championship | first seen 44m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Shanghai Port vs Beijing GuoanFootball · Superleague | first seen 49m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Lincoln City vs SouthamptonFootball · Championship | first seen 44m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Peterborough United vs Sheffield WednesdayFootball · League 1 | first seen 44m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.02 · −14.0% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Follo vs TromsdalenFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 14m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Wolfsburg vs Energie CottbusFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 14m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.30 · −5.1% CLV | 4-4 | LOST |
| Holstein Kiel vs NurnbergFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 14m before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao West CoastFootball · Superleague | first seen 14m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Stockholm Internazionale vs Hammarby TalangFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 14m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 2.00 · −1.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito HollyHockFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 3.85+28557/202.85+2.85-0.35from 3.65 · −5.2% CLV | 1:1 | LOST |
| Jeonbuk Motors vs Pohang SteelersFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.80 · −5.3% CLV | 2:0 | WON |
| Bucheon 1995 vs Daejeon CitizenFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0:5 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.