Lens vs Lorient
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
- Feed close
- 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.47 · −3.9% CLV
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Regional League. West
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · National league. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Segunda Division
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lens vs LorientFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.47 · −3.9% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Ascoli vs BeneventoFootball · Serie B | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Qizilqum Zarafshon vs BuxoroFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.85+18537/201.85+1.85-0.54from 2.50 · −12.3% CLV | 3-2 | LOST |
| Ajka vs SoroksarFootball · League 2 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.45 · −7.5% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Karpaty Lviv vs Shakhtar DonetskFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.68 · −2.3% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Hohenems vs FC SchwazFootball · Regional League. West | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.60 · −8.6% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Volga Ulyanovsk vs Arsenal TulaFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Helsingborg vs SandvikensFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Kraluv Dvur vs Jiskra DomazliceFootball · League 3 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Estrela Amadora vs FamalicaoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Riga Mariners vs RezekneFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.04-25001/250.04-25.00+0.04from 1.08 · +3.8% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| NEC Nijmegen vs FeyenoordFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| UTA Arad vs Csikszereda Miercurea CiucFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.50 · −3.2% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Brackley Town vs Harborough TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico MadridFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Sporting Gijon vs GironaFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0:2 | WON |
| Bristol Rovers vs RotherhamFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.70 · +7.6% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Barnsley vs StevenageFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-5 | LOST |
| Burton Albion vs Cambridge UnitedFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.70 · +12.5% CLV | 3:2 | WON |
| Northampton Town vs Newport CountyFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.68 · −1.2% CLV | 0:0 | LOST |
| IR Reykjavik vs Leiknir ReykjavikFootball · Division 1 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1:1 | WON |
| Portsmouth vs Cardiff CityFootball · Championship | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 2:1 | LOST |
| QPR vs MiddlesbroughFootball · Championship | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0:1 | WON |
| Nottingham Forest vs TottenhamFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Manchester City vs Coventry CityFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.15 · −4.2% CLV | 1:0 | WON |
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