Al Minaa vs Al Naft Baghdad
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-3
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · National League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Primera Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Ligue 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Ice Hockey · Champions League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Minaa vs Al Naft BaghdadFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Paksi vs Debreceni VSCFootball · National League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-4 | LOST |
| San Martin Burzaco vs Deportivo ArmenioFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Jezero vs Arsenal TivatFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 5-2 | WON |
| Villa Dalmine vs Arsenal SarandiFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0:1 | LOST |
| Danubio vs Penarol MontevideoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.72 · +1.2% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Atletico San Telmo vs Los AndesFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 2.70+17017/101.70+1.70-0.59from 2.95 · +9.3% CLV | 3:1 | WON |
| Al-Ittihad Jeddah vs Al-Nassr RiyadhFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.52 · +7.0% CLV | 0:3 | WON |
| Ajax vs PSVFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.35 · −2.1% CLV | 1:3 | WON |
| AEK Athens vs Aris ThessalonikiFootball · Superleague 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.38 · +4.5% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Stabaek vs MossFootball · Division 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.33 · +2.3% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Tristan Suarez vs San Martin TucumanFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.18 · +6.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Saint Etienne vs MontpellierFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV | 3:1 | WON |
| Carrarese vs EmpoliFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0:1 | WON |
| Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Petah TikvaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.50 · +1.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Dinamo Bucuresti vs FCSBFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Omonia Aradippou vs Krasava YpsonasFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.03 · −2.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Fenerbahce vs BesiktasFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 1.80 · −18.2% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Klagenfurt vs Fribourg-GotteronIce Hockey · Champions League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.32 · −10.2% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| BVSC Zuglo vs NagykanizsaFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Coleraine vs CrusadersFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.16-6254/250.16-6.25+0.16from 1.16 · 0.0% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Pendikspor vs UmraniyesporFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Keciorengucu Ankara vs SaryerFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Maritimo vs BenficaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.25 · +5.9% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Alverca vs BragaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.73 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
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