Girona vs Leganes
Football · Segunda Division
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
- Feed close
- 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.65 · +6.5% CLV
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4120
4119 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−215.1u
over 4119u staked
Yield
−5.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 8 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 777 | 55.9%52%–59% | −0.1pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1550 | 62.6%60%–65% | −3.6pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1563 | 70.1%68%–72% | −4.8pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 214 | 71.0%65%–77% | −9.4pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−3pp
1016
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±87.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 96 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2070 | 68.7% | −83.8u |
| Match winner | 2050 | 60.4% | −131.3u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 754 | 67.2% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 346 | 61.8% | −38.3u |
| League 1 | 338 | 67.2% | −10.4u |
| MLBMLB league page | 212 | 59.4% | +19.2u |
| League 2 | 153 | 60.8% | −17.3u |
| Division 1 | 111 | 64.0% | −7.4u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 103 | 62.1% | −8.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 69 | 50.7% | −16.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4120 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Segunda Division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
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Football · National League
1XDouble Chance
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Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
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Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
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Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · National League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Bundesliga
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Segunda Division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona vs LeganesFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.65 · +6.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Dynamo Brest vs Isloch MinskFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Real Sireti vs Sheriff TiraspolFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.16 · +0.9% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Arouca vs MoreirenseFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Samgurali Tskaltubo vs Dinamo BatumiFootball · National League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-4 | LOST |
| Baniyas vs Al Ain Abu DhabiFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.35 · +3.8% CLV | 2-4 | WON |
| Baltika vs Spartak MoscowFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| Varazdin vs RijekaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore OriolesBaseball · MLB | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 2-10 | LOST |
| Harju Laagri vs Levadia TallinnFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.13-76913/1000.13-7.69+0.13from 1.22 · +8.0% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| CSKA Sofia vs Botev VratsaFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 10.50 · +753.7% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Supra du Quebec vs Atletico OttawaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Istanbul Basaksehir vs KocaelisporFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.50 · −8.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Randers vs CopenhagenFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.67 · +1.2% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Puskas Academy vs PaksiFootball · National League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 3-2 | LOST |
| Karcagi vs TiszakecskeFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 3-3 | WON |
| Brann vs HamarkamerateneFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Burnley vs West HamFootball · Championship | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Hodd vs StrommenFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 2.08 · −4.6% CLV | 4-3 | WON |
| Molde vs TromsoFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 3.65+26553/202.65+2.65-0.38from 3.00 · −17.8% CLV | 3-2 | LOST |
| Dynamo Kiev vs Kolos KovalyovkaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.50 · −7.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| WSG Tirol vs SalzburgFootball · Bundesliga | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.32 · −3.6% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Spartak Trnava vs Zemplin MichalovceFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.42 · −9.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Eibar vs TenerifeFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.92 · +5.5% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Atyrau vs OkzhetpesFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.