San Diego Padres vs New York Yankees
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-5
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4d 1h before
Football · USL
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 59m before
Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 59m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 29m before
Football · Serie A
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 29m before
Football · Liga Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 29m before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 29m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 29m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 59m before
Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 59m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres vs New York YankeesBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 1-5 | WON |
| Houston Astros vs Arizona DiamondbacksBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota TwinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 4-6 | WON |
| Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue JaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 2-9 | WON |
| Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay RaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 6-7 | LOST |
| Cusco vs Deportivo MoqueguaFootball · Premier League | first seen 4d 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 11.50+105021/210.50+10.50-0.10from 11.00 · −4.3% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Detroit City vs Hartford AthleticFootball · USL | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles AngelsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 1-6 | LOST |
| San Luis Quillota vs CobreloaFootball · Serie B | first seen 59m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 4-2 | WON |
| Sao Paulo vs Atletico MineiroFootball · Serie A | first seen 59m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| Fuerte San Francisco vs FASFootball · Premier League | first seen 29m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Boyaca Chico vs Once CaldasFootball · Serie A | first seen 29m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.85 · +1.1% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Deportivo Mixco vs CSD ComunicacionesFootball · Liga Nacional | first seen 29m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Juventude RS vs Atletico GoianienseFootball · Serie B | first seen 29m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Deportivo Maldonado vs Montevideo WanderersFootball · Premier League | first seen 29m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Miami Marlins vs Chicago CubsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 5-6 | WON |
| New York Mets vs San Francisco GiantsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 5-9 | LOST |
| ASO Chlef vs CR BelouizdadFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 2.15 · +1.4% CLV | 3-3 | WON |
| Sport Huancayo vs Sport BoysFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 3.55+25551/202.55+2.55-0.39from 4.50 · +26.8% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Atletico Ottawa vs PacificFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.68 · +1.8% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo MoronFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza vs Boca JuniorsFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional MadeiraFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.25 · +13.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Goias vs FortalezaFootball · Serie B | first seen 59m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Bragantino vs BahiaFootball · Serie A | first seen 59m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.