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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=4118

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

4119

4118 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−215.7u

over 4118u staked

Yield

−5.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 45%8———
50–60%avg claim 56%77755.9%52%–59%52%–59%−0.1pp
60–70%avg claim 66%154962.6%60%–65%60%–65%−3.6pp
70–80%avg claim 75%156370.1%68%–72%68%–72%−4.8pp
80–90%avg claim 80%21471.0%65%–77%65%–77%−9.4pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−3pp

1015

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 4118

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±87.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 96 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance207068.7%−83.8u
Match winner204960.4%−131.9u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League75467.2%−21.1u
Superleague34661.8%−38.3u
League 133867.2%−10.4u
MLB↗MLB league page21259.4%+19.2u
League 215360.8%−17.3u
Division 111164.0%−7.4u
Division 210465.4%−5.2u
Serie B10362.1%−8.1u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7963.3%−5.8u
Championship7665.8%−4.4u
Serie A6950.7%−16.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4119 picks with a captured kickoff.

Skeid vs Levanger

Football · Division 2. Group 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-5

2026-08-16 · first seen 58m before

Resistencia vs Deportivo Capiata

Football · Division 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.40 · −2.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 58m before

Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice

Football · Superleague

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 43m before

Broadmeadow Magic vs Charlestown Azzurri

Football · North New South Wales. National Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV
Score
8-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

FC San Antonio vs El Paso Locomotive

Football · USL

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 53m before

Spokane Velocity vs Corpus Christi

Football · USL. League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.68 · −1.2% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 53m before

Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.27 · +3.3% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 23m before

Union Espanola vs San Marcos Arica

Football · Serie B

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.65 · +6.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 5h before

Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Luis Quillota

Football · Serie B

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 2.40 · +24.4% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-17 · first seen 3d 2h before

Deportes Copiapo vs Curico Unido

Football · Serie B

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-0

2026-08-17 · first seen 3d 2h before

Neman Grodno vs Minsk

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Inter Bratislava vs Slovan Galanta

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.32 · −3.6% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Alverca vs Estrela Amadora

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Unie Hlubina vs Sigma 2 Olomouc

Football · League 3

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Ujpest vs MTK Budapest

Football · National League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.88 · −1.1% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

SC Uhersky Brod vs Hranice

Football · League 3

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Vushtrria vs Malisheva

Football · Superliga

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-6

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

IF Karlstad vs Assyriska Sodertalje

Football · Division 2. North

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Maidenhead United vs Dorking Wanderers

Football · National League. South

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Dover Athletic vs Slough Town

Football · National League. South

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Horsham vs Salisbury

Football · National League. South

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Koge vs Hvidovre

Football · 1st Division

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Stranraer vs Spartans Edinburgh

Football · League 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Forfar vs Stirling Albion

Football · League 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

VSK Aarhus vs Thisted

Football · 2 division

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 4h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Skeid vs LevangerFootball · Division 2. Group 22026-08-16first seen 58m beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—0-5WON
Resistencia vs Deportivo CapiataFootball · Division 22026-08-16first seen 58m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.40 · −2.0% CLV1-0WON
Motor Lublin vs GKS KatowiceFootball · Superleague2026-08-16first seen 43m beforeX2Double Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—1-0LOST
Broadmeadow Magic vs Charlestown AzzurriFootball · North New South Wales. National Premier League2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV8-0WON
FC San Antonio vs El Paso LocomotiveFootball · USL2026-08-16first seen 53m before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—0-3LOST
Spokane Velocity vs Corpus ChristiFootball · USL. League 12026-08-16first seen 53m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.68 · −1.2% CLV2-3LOST
Alianza Lima vs UTC CajamarcaFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 23m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.27 · +3.3% CLV1-0WON
Union Espanola vs San Marcos AricaFootball · Serie B2026-08-16first seen 5h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.65 · +6.0% CLV2-1LOST
Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Luis QuillotaFootball · Serie B2026-08-17first seen 3d 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 2.40 · +24.4% CLV0-2WON
Deportes Copiapo vs Curico UnidoFootball · Serie B2026-08-17first seen 3d 2h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—4-0LOST
Neman Grodno vs MinskFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—2-1LOST
Inter Bratislava vs Slovan GalantaFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.32 · −3.6% CLV3-0WON
Alverca vs Estrela AmadoraFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—2-2WON
Unie Hlubina vs Sigma 2 OlomoucFootball · League 32026-08-15first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—2-3WON
Ujpest vs MTK BudapestFootball · National League2026-08-15first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.88 · −1.1% CLV1-1LOST
SC Uhersky Brod vs HraniceFootball · League 32026-08-15first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-0WON
Vushtrria vs MalishevaFootball · Superliga2026-08-15first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—1-6WON
IF Karlstad vs Assyriska SodertaljeFootball · Division 2. North2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV0-2LOST
Maidenhead United vs Dorking WanderersFootball · National League. South2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—0-0WON
Dover Athletic vs Slough TownFootball · National League. South2026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—5-3WON
Horsham vs SalisburyFootball · National League. South2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—0-0WON
Koge vs HvidovreFootball · 1st Division2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—0-2WON
Stranraer vs Spartans EdinburghFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 55m beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—1-0LOST
Forfar vs Stirling AlbionFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 55m beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—3-0LOST
VSK Aarhus vs ThistedFootball · 2 division2026-08-15first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived—3-1WON

2701–2725 of 4119

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.