Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4119
4118 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−215.7u
over 4118u staked
Yield
−5.2%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 45% | 8 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 777 | 55.9%52%–59% | −0.1pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1549 | 62.6%60%–65% | −3.6pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1563 | 70.1%68%–72% | −4.8pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 214 | 71.0%65%–77% | −9.4pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−3pp
1015
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±87.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 96 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2070 | 68.7% | −83.8u |
| Match winner | 2049 | 60.4% | −131.9u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 754 | 67.2% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 346 | 61.8% | −38.3u |
| League 1 | 338 | 67.2% | −10.4u |
| MLBMLB league page | 212 | 59.4% | +19.2u |
| League 2 | 153 | 60.8% | −17.3u |
| Division 1 | 111 | 64.0% | −7.4u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 103 | 62.1% | −8.1u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 69 | 50.7% | −16.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4119 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 13m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 8m before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie C
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Primera division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · National league. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 55m before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Division 2. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · National league
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Superleague
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 39m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Varna vs Septemvri SofiaFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Trinec vs Usti nad LabemFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Houston Astros vs Seattle MarinersBaseball · MLB | first seen 13m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Barracas Central vs Rosario CentralFootball · Premier League | first seen 8m before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| CRB vs NovorizontinoFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Barra vs ItabaianaFootball · Serie C | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Always Ready vs Real PotosiFootball · Primera division | first seen 8m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.20 · −11.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Mechelen vs Standard LiegeFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 3-3 | WON |
| Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga GargzdaiFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Santiago Wanderers vs Puerto MonttFootball · Serie B | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 2.03 · +8.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Racing Santander vs VillarrealFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Sogndal vs Sandnes UlfFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Fuerte San Francisco vs Isidro MetapanFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Deportes Limache vs Universidad ChileFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| BATE Borisov vs VitebskFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.35 · −16.1% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Academico Viseu vs Santa ClaraFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.90 · +3.6% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz vs Vysocina JihlavaFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-4 | LOST |
| Zob Ahan vs Foolad KhuzestanFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Hednesford Town vs Scarborough AthleticFootball · National league. North | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 3-4 | LOST |
| Coleraine vs LarneFootball · Premier League | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.10 · +5.0% CLV | 0-0 | WON |
| Bangor vs CliftonvilleFootball · Premier League | first seen 55m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Ranheim vs StromsgodsetFootball · Division 1 | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.55 · −4.3% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Sollentuna vs JärfällaFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Halifax Town vs Boreham WoodFootball · National league | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask WroclawFootball · Superleague | first seen 39m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.