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GoatShadow

Publishes on Oddspedia · first tracked 2026-08-16

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

73

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Oddspedia or with GoatShadow, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Oddspedia and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Claimed vs measured

Claimed on Oddspedia

−64.0% ROI

over 140 tips

Measured by Tipzy

−14.4%

over 13 priced picks

These measure different sets over different periods — we track from the date above, not from the start of their history — so a gap is not by itself evidence of anything. It is shown so both numbers are visible at once.

Published prices

Unprovenn=13

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

13

13 graded

Win rate

53.8%

95% CI 29%–77%

Profit

−1.9u

over 13u staked

Yield

−14.4%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

3

Longest losing streak

2

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

−2.6u

from a +0.5u peak · bottomed 2026-09-04

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 13

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±6.0u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner1050.0%−1.6u
Double chance2—+0.7u
Over/Under1—−1.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League5—−0.5u
Superleague3—−0.9u
Bundesliga 2↗Bundesliga 2 league page1—+0.4u
Challenge League↗Challenge League league page1—+0.6u
Championship1—−1.0u
Division 21—+0.5u
Primera Division. Season 26/27↗Primera Division. Season 26/27 league page1—−1.0u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 10h before kickoff — median over 15 picks with a captured kickoff.

Birmingham City vs Wolverhampton

Football · Championship

Lost

AwayFull Time Result

Tipster odds
2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69
Feed close
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.45 · +4.3% CLV
Score
1:1

2026-09-06 · tipped 24h before

Groningen vs Twente

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-09-06 · tipped 23h before

Rijeka vs Osijek

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeFull Time Result

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-09-05 · tipped 31h before

Young Boys vs FC Luzern

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeFull Time Result

Tipster odds
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.50 · +4.9% CLV
Score
2:4

2026-09-05 · tipped 28h before

Belgrano vs Huracan

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeFull Time Result

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.05 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-04 · tipped 10h before

Sandefjord vs Viking

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayFull Time Result

Tipster odds
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.75 · −2.8% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-04 · tipped 7h before

Dender vs Seraing

Football · Division 2

Won

HomeFull Time Result

Tipster odds
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50
Feed close
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.45 · −1.4% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-04 · tipped 6h before

Aarau vs Rapperswil-Jona

Football · Challenge League

Won

HomeFull Time Result

Tipster odds
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-04 · tipped 6h before

Arminia Bielefeld vs St. Pauli

Football · Bundesliga 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40
Feed close
—
Score
2:2

2026-09-04 · tipped 5h before

Anderlecht vs Kortrijk

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeFull Time Result

Tipster odds
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-03 · tipped 7h before

Mjolby vs Djurgardens

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayFull Time Result

Tipster odds
1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68
Feed close
1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.60 · −1.2% CLV
Score
3:0

2026-09-03 · tipped 5h before

Chicago Cubs vs Chicago White Sox

Baseball · MLB

Pending

HomeFT inc. OT Home/Away

Tipster odds
1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58
Feed close
—
Score
7-5

2026-08-18 · tipped 12h before

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit Tigers

Baseball · MLB

Pending

AwayFT inc. OT Home/Away

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
5-8

2026-08-17 · tipped 11h before

Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla Krakow

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeFull Time Result

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 2.03 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-16 · tipped 23m before

Espanyol vs Levante

Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27

Lost

Under 2.5Total Goals

Tipster odds
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70
Feed close
—
Score
3-0

2026-08-16 · tipped 15h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Birmingham City vs WolverhamptonFootball · Championship2026-09-06tipped 24h beforeAwayFull Time Result2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.692.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.45 · +4.3% CLV1:1LOST
Groningen vs TwenteFootball · Premier League2026-09-06tipped 23h beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33—2-2WON
Rijeka vs OsijekFootball · Premier League2026-09-05tipped 31h beforeHomeFull Time Result1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.801.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV4-1WON
Young Boys vs FC LuzernFootball · Superleague2026-09-05tipped 28h beforeHomeFull Time Result1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.501.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.50 · +4.9% CLV2:4LOST
Belgrano vs HuracanFootball · Premier League2026-09-04tipped 10h beforeHomeFull Time Result2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.912.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.05 · 0.0% CLV1-1LOST
Sandefjord vs VikingFootball · Superleague2026-09-04tipped 7h beforeAwayFull Time Result1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.781.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.75 · −2.8% CLV1-1LOST
Dender vs SeraingFootball · Division 22026-09-04tipped 6h beforeHomeFull Time Result1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.501.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.45 · −1.4% CLV2-0WON
Aarau vs Rapperswil-JonaFootball · Challenge League2026-09-04tipped 6h beforeHomeFull Time Result1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.601.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV3-2WON
Arminia Bielefeld vs St. PauliFootball · Bundesliga 22026-09-04tipped 5h before1XDouble Chance1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40—2:2WON
Anderlecht vs KortrijkFootball · Premier League2026-09-03tipped 7h beforeHomeFull Time Result1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.401.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV1-0WON
Mjolby vs DjurgardensFootball · Premier League2026-09-03tipped 5h beforeAwayFull Time Result1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.681.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.60 · −1.2% CLV3:0LOST
Chicago Cubs vs Chicago White SoxBaseball · MLB2026-08-18tipped 12h beforeHomeFT inc. OT Home/Away1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58—7-5—
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB2026-08-17tipped 11h beforeAwayFT inc. OT Home/Away1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83—5-8—
Gornik Zabrze vs Wisla KrakowFootball · Superleague2026-08-16tipped 23m beforeHomeFull Time Result2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.912.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 2.03 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON
Espanyol vs LevanteFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/272026-08-16tipped 15h beforeUnder 2.5Total Goals1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70—3-0LOST

1–15 of 15

Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.