Lobos UPNFM Reserves vs Estrella Roja Reserves
Football · Livebet
Home -4.5Handicap 2-Way
- Tipster odds
- 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- —
Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
70
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with Vamos Rafa, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.
Settled
249
236 graded · 13 void
Win rate
63.1%
95% CI 57%–69%
Profit
+419.8u
over 2291u staked
Yield
+18.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
18
Longest losing streak
12
Current streak
W4
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
−190.7u
from a +419.8u peak · bottomed 2026-09-13
Computed from published prices only, level stakes.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±277.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 3 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Asian handicap | 110 | 67.3% | +236.9u |
| Match winner | 61 | 57.4% | +75.7u |
| Over/Under | 45 | 57.1% | +23.3u |
| Asian over under | 14 | 69.2% | +34.3u |
| Handicap | 8 | — | +8.7u |
| Race to | 6 | — | +21.5u |
| Unmapped | 4 | — | +13.3u |
| Double chance | 1 | — | +6.2u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Livebet | 138 | 62.5% | +239.4u |
| Cup. First round | 9 | — | −59.2u |
| Premier League | 9 | — | +53.7u |
| League CLeague C league page | 8 | — | +55.5u |
| Primera division | 6 | — | −17.0u |
| Primera Division. Season 26/27Primera Division. Season 26/27 league page | 5 | — | +20.5u |
| League BLeague B league page | 4 | — | +14.0u |
| League phase | 4 | — | +17.3u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 3 | — | +32.2u |
| U20. Goiano. CupU20. Goiano. Cup league page | 3 | — | −10.1u |
| U21. Qualifying matches. Group stageU21. Qualifying matches. Group stage league page | 3 | — | −10.0u |
| Bundesliga | 2 | — | −20.0u |
Tips typically appear 2d 18h before kickoff — median over 58 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Livebet
Home -4.5Handicap 2-Way
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Over 5.5Goal Line
Football · Livebet
Home -0.5Asian Handicap
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Away 1X2FT
· tipped 2d before
Football · Premier League
Home 1X2FT
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HomeFulltime Result
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Home or DrawDouble Chance
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Home -0.75 AHFT
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First Half Home -0.75AH
· tipped 5m before
Football · Premier League
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Football · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg
Home -1Asian Handicap
Football · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg
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Football · U19. Youth League
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· tipped 2d 18h before
Football · U19. Youth League
HomeFulltime Result
· tipped 2d 18h before
Football · Livebet
Away -1.5,-2.0Asian Handicap
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Home -0.25 AHFT
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Home -0.25 AHFT
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Home -1 AHFT
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lobos UPNFM Reserves vs Estrella Roja ReservesFootball · Livebet | Home -4.5Handicap 2-Way | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83 | — | — | WON | |
| Lobos UPNFM Reserves vs Estrella Roja ReservesFootball · Livebet | Over 5.5Goal Line | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90 | — | — | WON | |
| Motherwell vs Dundee UtdFootball · Livebet | Home -0.5Asian Handicap | 1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68 | — | — | WON | |
| Royal U20 vs Aparecidense U20Football · U20. Goiano. Cup | tipped 2d before | Away 1X2FT | 1.99-10199/1000.99-1.01+0.99 | — | 1:2 | WON |
| Al Ahly Cairo vs SmouhaFootball · Premier League | Home 1X2FT | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79 | — | — | WON | |
| KAA Gent vs Oud-Heverlee LeuvenFootball · Livebet | Home 1X2FT | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77 | — | — | WON | |
| FK Minija vs DFK Dainava IIFootball · Livebet | HomeFulltime Result | 3.40+24012/52.40+2.40-0.42 | — | — | WON | |
| FK Minija vs DFK Dainava IIFootball · Livebet | Home or DrawDouble Chance | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62 | — | — | WON | |
| FK Minija vs DFK Dainava IIFootball · Livebet | HomeTo Qualify | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95 | — | — | WON | |
| HEBC Hamburg vs Borussia DortmundFootball · Livebet | Over 14.52-Way Corners | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83 | — | — | WON | |
| Santa Fe FC (W) vs UMECIT (W)Football · Livebet | Over 1.25Goal Line | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00 | — | — | LOST | |
| Santa Fe FC (W) vs UMECIT (W)Football · Livebet | AwayFulltime Result | 1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73 | — | — | LOST | |
| Wofoo Tai Po FC vs Eastern AAFootball · Livebet | Home -0.75 AHFT | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67 | — | — | WON | |
| Wofoo Tai Po FC vs Eastern AAFootball · Livebet | Home -1 AHFT | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00 | — | — | WON | |
| Caracas vs BarquisimetoFootball · Cup. Group stage | tipped 5m before | First Half Home -0.75AH | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83 | — | — | WON |
| Sitra vs MalkiyaFootball · Premier League | HomeFulltime Result | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67 | — | 3:0 | WON | |
| Sitra vs MalkiyaFootball · Premier League | HomeFulltime Result | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67 | — | 3:0 | WON | |
| Monaco vs Gornik ZabrzeFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg | Home -1Asian Handicap | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58 | — | 4:1 | WON | |
| Monaco vs Gornik ZabrzeFootball · Qualifying stage. Final. Second leg | Home -1Asian Handicap | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55 | — | 4:1 | WON | |
| Dijon U19 vs Troyes U19Football · U19. Youth League | tipped 2d 18h before | HomeFulltime Result | 2.38+13869/501.38+1.38-0.72 | — | — | LOST |
| Dijon U19 vs Troyes U19Football · U19. Youth League | tipped 2d 18h before | HomeFulltime Result | 2.38+13869/501.38+1.38-0.72 | — | — | LOST |
| Bath Estate vs Dublanc FCFootball · Livebet | Away -1.5,-2.0Asian Handicap | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83 | — | — | WON | |
| NK MIK CM Celje vs ŠK Slovan BratislavaFootball · Livebet | Home -0.25 AHFT | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83 | — | 1:1 | LOST | |
| NK MIK CM Celje vs ŠK Slovan BratislavaFootball · Livebet | Home -0.25 AHFT | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83 | — | 1:1 | LOST | |
| Real Madrid CF vs Real SociedadFootball · Livebet | Home -1 AHFT | 1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88 | — | 4:1 | WON |
* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.
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