When tipsters agree, does it pay?

Where several tracked tipsters backed the same market, here is how they split — and whether the pick most of them made actually landed.

Crowds
1,332
Tipsters
756
Sources
13
Corpus covered
54.4%
  • Lyon vs AuxerreMatch winner · Ligue 1. Season 26/274 Sept 2026landed
    0pp8 tips
    Home
    tipsters100.0%
    stake100.0%
    Who backed this

    Home · 8

    • Vitibet Algorithmvitibet4,057 picks · 64.6% · -5.24%won
    • Predictz Algorithmpredictz2,160 picks · 43.5% · -6.77%won
    • MightyTipsmightytips242 picks · 53.7% · -6.51%1.46won
    • LightGreen✅blogabet39 picks · 76.9% · +21.72%1.38won
    • LightGreen✅blogabet39 picks · 76.9% · +21.72%1.50won
    • BlackPantherZoddspedianot enough tracked yet1.50won
    • Lidaoddspedianot enough tracked yet1.44won
    • PastoRoi (100% Pinnacle)blogabetnot enough tracked yet1.51won
  • Mantova vs EmpoliOver/Under · Serie B30 Aug 2026landedone source
    0pp8 tips
    Over
    tipsters100.0%
    stake100.0%
    Who backed this

    Over · 8

    • Jov135asianbookie425 picks · 53.2% · -25.02%1.90won
    • jacksontiongasianbookie417 picks · 54.4% · +21.27%1.93won
    • jacksontiongasianbookie417 picks · 54.4% · +21.27%1.90won
    • win1706asianbookie297 picks · 58.2% · +52.51%1.90won
    • vegnes2277asianbookie182 picks · 54.4% · -19.77%1.90won
    • goodyear1asianbookie174 picks · 56.9% · +69.28%1.90won
    • dangdung35asianbookie69 picks · 49.3% · -67.36%1.90won
    • dangdung35asianbookie69 picks · 49.3% · -67.36%1.93won
  • Real Sociedad vs EspanyolOver/Under · Primera Division. Season 26/2729 Aug 2026landed
    0pp8 tips
    Over
    tipsters100.0%
    stake100.0%
    Who backed this

    Over · 8

    • win1706asianbookie297 picks · 58.2% · +52.51%1.98won
    • botmlbblogabetnot enough tracked yet2.09void
    • botmlbblogabetnot enough tracked yet2.65lost
    • deyan76oddspedianot enough tracked yet1.94won
    • Dorothy-Pinnyblogabetnot enough tracked yet1.89won
    • valpapicksblogabetnot enough tracked yet1.67won
    • valpapicksblogabetnot enough tracked yet1.62won
    • Verde1977oddspedianot enough tracked yet2.20void
  • Elche vs BarcelonaMatch winner · Primera Division. Season 26/2723 Aug 2026landed
    —8 tips
    Away
    tipsters100.0%
    stake—
    Who backed this

    Away · 8

    • Vitibet Algorithmvitibet4,057 picks · 64.6% · -5.24%won
    • Predictz Algorithmpredictz2,160 picks · 43.5% · -6.77%won
    • Adibetadibet272 picks · 76.8%won
    • MightyTipsmightytips242 picks · 53.7% · -6.51%1.31won
    • SoloPredictsolopredict201 picks · 76.6% · +2.32%1.36won
    • ProSoccerprosoccer147 picks · 67.3% · +0.96%1.30won
    • KennyCln19oddspedianot enough tracked yet1.30won
    • Wallieoddspedianot enough tracked yet1.35won
  • Celtic vs LASKOver/Under · Qualifying stage. Final. First leg19 Aug 2026missedone source
    0pp8 tips
    Under
    tipsters100.0%
    stake100.0%
    Who backed this

    Under · 8

    • Jov135asianbookie425 picks · 53.2% · -25.02%2.03lost
    • vegnes2277asianbookie182 picks · 54.4% · -19.77%2.03lost
    • SIXFOOTERasianbookie107 picks · 47.7% · -45.16%1.95lost
    • Tuan77asianbookie87 picks · 49.4% · +78.35%2.03lost
    • Jovis197asianbookie76 picks · 56.6% · +76.79%1.95lost
    • hollowjimasianbookienot enough tracked yet1.95lost
    • Jov1972asianbookienot enough tracked yet2.00lost
    • Jov77asianbookienot enough tracked yet2.03lost
  • Malaga vs LevanteOver/Under · Primera Division. Season 26/27date unverifiedmissed
    0pp8 tips
    Over
    tipsters100.0%
    stake100.0%
    Who backed this

    Over · 8

    • Bora1983blogabet76 picks · 60.5% · +38.73%2.31lost
    • The Spanish Sorcererblogabet46 picks · 47.8% · -11.61%1.87lost
    • serpablogabet31 picks · 51.6% · -1.16%2.01lost
    • IRG80oddspedianot enough tracked yet1.46lost
    • LMGuerrablogabetnot enough tracked yet1.99lost
    • Merloblogabetnot enough tracked yet1.85lost
    • valpapicksblogabetnot enough tracked yet1.80lost
    • valpapicksblogabetnot enough tracked yet1.62lost
  • Caracas vs BarquisimetoAsian handicap · Cup. Group stagedate unverifiedlandedone source
    0pp8 tips
    Home
    tipsters100.0%
    stake100.0%
    Who backed this

    Home · 8

  • Independiente Santa Fe vs MillonariosOver/Under · Serie Adate unverifiedmissed
    0pp8 tips
    Under
    tipsters100.0%
    stake100.0%
    Who backed this

    Under · 8

    • Odds Goalsblogabet66 picks · 59.1% · +21.06%1.98lost
    • Odds Goalsblogabet66 picks · 59.1% · +21.06%1.98lost
    • Odds Goalsblogabet66 picks · 59.1% · +21.06%1.77lost
    • Odds Goalsblogabet66 picks · 59.1% · +21.06%1.77lost
    • Odds Goalsblogabet66 picks · 59.1% · +21.06%1.78lost
    • Odds Goalsblogabet66 picks · 59.1% · +21.06%1.78lost
    • L O I C Xoddspedianot enough tracked yet6.50lost
    • MatchPriceblogabetnot enough tracked yet1.72won
  • Utrecht vs Go Ahead EaglesOver/Under · Premier Leaguedate unverifiedlanded
    0pp8 tips
    Over
    tipsters100.0%
    stake100.0%
    Who backed this

    Over · 8

    • win1706asianbookie297 picks · 58.2% · +52.51%2.05won
    • seangfayasianbookie234 picks · 54.3% · +47.79%2.05won
    • goodyear1asianbookie174 picks · 56.9% · +69.28%2.05won
    • Frank ZORICICHblogabet91 picks · 54.9% · -1.58%1.73won
    • 300358asianbookie74 picks · 59.5% · +15.32%2.05won
    • Aikawablogabet60 picks · 53.3% · +16.39%1.54won
    • Sebastian 99blogabet34 picks · 67.6% · +21.48%1.84won
    • raymondho920asianbookienot enough tracked yet2.05won
  • Degerfors vs HalmstadsOver/Under · Premier Leaguedate unverifiedlanded
    0pp8 tips
    Over
    tipsters100.0%
    stake100.0%
    Who backed this

    Over · 8

    • seangfayasianbookie234 picks · 54.3% · +47.79%1.93lost
    • Archer S.blogabet61 picks · 36.1% · -18.25%3.55won
    • Archer S.blogabet61 picks · 36.1% · -18.25%2.80won
    • Archer S.blogabet61 picks · 36.1% · -18.25%1.83won
    • Archer S.blogabet61 picks · 36.1% · -18.25%3.82void
    • Archer S.blogabet61 picks · 36.1% · -18.25%2.24won
    • Archer S.blogabet61 picks · 36.1% · -18.25%2.36won
    • Archer S.blogabet61 picks · 36.1% · -18.25%1.83lost
  • Manchester City vs Coventry CityOver/Under · Premier League. Season 26/275 Sept 2026missed
    0pp7 tips
    Over
    tipsters100.0%
    stake100.0%
    Who backed this

    Over · 7

    • jacksontiongasianbookie417 picks · 54.4% · +21.27%1.90lost
    • jacksontiongasianbookie417 picks · 54.4% · +21.27%1.93lost
    • seangfayasianbookie234 picks · 54.3% · +47.79%1.93lost
    • Kolyvanoffblogabet86 picks · 45.3% · -13.08%1.88void
    • Cleakblogabet85 picks · 60.0% · +19.31%2.03won
    • Soldier Boyblogabet68 picks · 48.5% · -6.34%2.06lost
    • Penaldoasianbookie66 picks · 59.1% · +20.99%1.88lost
  • Gent vs LeuvenMatch winner · Premier League3 Sept 2026landed
    —7 tips
    Home
    tipsters100.0%
    stake—
    Who backed this

    Home · 7

    • Vitibet Algorithmvitibet4,057 picks · 64.6% · -5.24%won
    • Adibetadibet272 picks · 76.8%won
    • MightyTipsmightytips242 picks · 53.7% · -6.51%1.71won
    • Alex0oddspedianot enough tracked yet1.70won
    • Kallidusoddspedianot enough tracked yet1.70won
    • Kitatuoddspedianot enough tracked yet1.70won
    • Wallieoddspedianot enough tracked yet1.70won
  • Portland Timbers vs AustinOver/Under · MLS30 Aug 2026missed
    0pp7 tips
    Over
    tipsters100.0%
    stake100.0%
    Who backed this

    Over · 7

    • Jov135asianbookie425 picks · 53.2% · -25.02%2.00lost
    • jacksontiongasianbookie417 picks · 54.4% · +21.27%2.00lost
    • vegnes2277asianbookie182 picks · 54.4% · -19.77%2.00lost
    • eko2710asianbookie111 picks · 60.4% · -14.96%2.00lost
    • SIXFOOTERasianbookie107 picks · 47.7% · -45.16%2.00lost
    • dangdung35asianbookie69 picks · 49.3% · -67.36%2.00lost
    • Mattheus Xavierblogabet46 picks · 60.9% · +31.87%1.94won
  • Besiktas vs Hradec KraloveMatch winner · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg13 Aug 2026landed
    0pp7 tips
    Home
    tipsters100.0%
    stake100.0%
    Who backed this

    Home · 7

    • Vitibet Algorithmvitibet4,057 picks · 64.6% · -5.24%won
    • Predictz Algorithmpredictz2,160 picks · 43.5% · -6.77%won
    • Adibetadibet272 picks · 76.8%won
    • MightyTipsmightytips242 picks · 53.7% · -6.51%1.31won
    • alex53blogabetnot enough tracked yet1.83won
    • alex53blogabetnot enough tracked yet1.80won
    • vskisblogabetnot enough tracked yet1.74won
  • Gil Vicente vs Casa PiaMatch winner · Premier Leaguedate unverifiedlanded
    0pp7 tips
    Home
    tipsters100.0%
    stake100.0%
    Who backed this

    Home · 7

    • Vitibet Algorithmvitibet4,057 picks · 64.6% · -5.24%won
    • Predictz Algorithmpredictz2,160 picks · 43.5% · -6.77%won
    • MightyTipsmightytips242 picks · 53.7% · -6.51%1.76won
    • Enszi Diamondblogabet132 picks · 54.5% · +5.99%1.74won
    • Yanus Ritterblogabet79 picks · 59.5% · +3.25%1.71won
    • cridema84oddspedianot enough tracked yet1.70won
    • Zhubiitisoddspedianot enough tracked yet1.70won
  • Osasuna vs LevanteMatch winner · Primera Division. Season 26/27date unverifiedmissed
    0pp7 tips
    Home
    tipsters100.0%
    stake100.0%
    Who backed this

    Home · 7

    • Vitibet Algorithmvitibet4,057 picks · 64.6% · -5.24%lost
    • Predictz Algorithmpredictz2,160 picks · 43.5% · -6.77%lost
    • MightyTipsmightytips242 picks · 53.7% · -6.51%1.92lost
    • Enszi Diamondblogabet132 picks · 54.5% · +5.99%1.85lost
    • Yanus Ritterblogabet79 picks · 59.5% · +3.25%1.86lost
    • botmlbblogabetnot enough tracked yet2.53lost
    • botmlbblogabetnot enough tracked yet1.91lost
  • Qingdao West Coast vs Shandong TaishanOver/Under · Superleaguedate unverifiedmissedone source
    0pp7 tips
    Over
    tipsters100.0%
    stake100.0%
    Who backed this

    Over · 7

    • Andy Murrayblogabet91 picks · 67.0% · +37.84%2.03lost
    • Andy Murrayblogabet91 picks · 67.0% · +37.84%2.03lost
    • Andy Murrayblogabet91 picks · 67.0% · +37.84%2.03lost
    • Andy Murrayblogabet91 picks · 67.0% · +37.84%2.03lost
    • Andy Murrayblogabet91 picks · 67.0% · +37.84%2.03lost
    • Andy Murrayblogabet91 picks · 67.0% · +37.84%2.03lost
    • Andy Murrayblogabet91 picks · 67.0% · +37.84%2.04lost
  • Sporting Gijon vs Burgos CFOver/Under · Segunda Divisiondate unverifiedmissed
    0pp7 tips
    Over
    tipsters100.0%
    stake100.0%
    Who backed this

    Over · 7

    • win1706asianbookie297 picks · 58.2% · +52.51%2.03void
    • Tet156799asianbookie168 picks · 47.6% · -7.86%2.03void
    • eko2710asianbookie111 picks · 60.4% · -14.96%2.03void
    • Tuan77asianbookie87 picks · 49.4% · +78.35%2.03void
    • man uasianbookie53 picks · 77.4% · +38.94%2.03void
    • suikoden5blogabet53 picks · 43.4% · -8.66%1.67lost
    • serpablogabet31 picks · 51.6% · -1.16%1.95lost
  • FC Seoul vs Bucheon 1995Over/Under · Superleaguedate unverifiedmissed
    0pp7 tips
    Over
    tipsters100.0%
    stake100.0%
    Who backed this

    Over · 7

    • jacksontiongasianbookie417 picks · 54.4% · +21.27%2.00void
    • win1706asianbookie297 picks · 58.2% · +52.51%2.00void
    • vegnes2277asianbookie182 picks · 54.4% · -19.77%2.00void
    • Tet156799asianbookie168 picks · 47.6% · -7.86%1.83lost
    • eko2710asianbookie111 picks · 60.4% · -14.96%2.00void
    • Versustips11blogabet106 picks · 42.5% · -23.73%1.78lost
    • man uasianbookie53 picks · 77.4% · +38.94%2.00void
  • Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa Red DiamondsOver/Under · Premier Leaguedate unverifiedlanded
    0pp7 tips
    Over
    tipsters100.0%
    stake100.0%
    Who backed this

    Over · 7

    • Jov135asianbookie425 picks · 53.2% · -25.02%1.90won
    • Jov135asianbookie425 picks · 53.2% · -25.02%2.03won
    • win1706asianbookie297 picks · 58.2% · +52.51%2.03won
    • goodyear1asianbookie174 picks · 56.9% · +69.28%2.03won
    • thegreentipsterblogabet91 picks · 58.2% · -2.89%1.72won
    • xiquaasianbookie61 picks · 49.2% · -5.69%1.93won
    • aadhezdasianbookie47 picks · 51.1% · -2.00%1.90won
  • Palmeiras SP vs Sao PauloMatch winner · Serie A12 Sept 2026landed
    0pp6 tips
    Home
    tipsters100.0%
    stake100.0%
    Who backed this

    Home · 6

    • Enszi Diamondblogabet132 picks · 54.5% · +5.99%1.79won
    • LVbetsblogabet60 picks · 61.7% · +1.26%1.55won
    • ProgressionBetblogabet52 picks · 55.8% · -5.87%1.57won
    • Bartosz Babińskizawodtypernot enough tracked yet1.67won
    • BETOFTHEDAYblogabetnot enough tracked yet1.78won
    • Vincenzo Basilezawodtypernot enough tracked yet1.65won
  • Barcelona vs FeyenoordMatch winner · League phase9 Sept 2026landed
    —6 tips
    Home
    tipsters100.0%
    stake—
    Who backed this

    Home · 6

  • Levski Sofia vs CSKA SofiaMatch winner · Super Cup. Sofia9 Sept 2026missed
    0pp6 tips
    Home
    tipsters100.0%
    stake100.0%
    Who backed this

    Home · 6

  • Plaza Colonia vs Uruguay MontevideoOver/Under · Segunda Division7 Sept 2026landedone source
    0pp6 tips
    Over
    tipsters100.0%
    stake100.0%
    Who backed this

    Over · 6

  • Stuttgart vs KölnMatch winner · Bundesliga. Season 26/274 Sept 2026landed
    0pp6 tips
    Home
    tipsters100.0%
    stake100.0%
    Who backed this

    Home · 6

How to read a row

Tipsters is how many backed the selection. Stake is how much of the published stake went there. When they disagree, a few tipsters are loading on something the rest only nodded at.

Diff is that gap for the most-backed selection, in percentage points, and is highlighted past 10pp. Negative means plenty of bodies but little conviction.

The stake column is blank where nobody published a stake — most sources are flat-stake, and repeating the tipster split there would invent a money signal out of an absence. Rows marked one source are tipsters on the same site, who can read each other; that is agreement, not independent confirmation.

Did the crowd's pick pay?

Every selection above, split into the one most tipsters backed and everything else.

Most-backed yield

+19.11%

3,820 picks · avg price 2.00

Rest yield

+2.78%

765 picks · avg price 2.67

Most-backed win rate

55.9%

95% CI [54.3%, 57.4%]

3,820 graded

Rest win rate

48.0%

95% CI [44.5%, 51.5%]

765 graded

The most-backed selection yields +19.1% over 3,820 priced picks; the rest of the field yields +2.8% over 765 priced picks. The gap between them is +16.3%, but its 95% interval spans -16.9% to +49.5% -- this sample cannot separate the two. That is a result, not a missing one. The most-backed selection is priced at a mean of 2.00, the rest at a mean of 2.67 -- sides priced this differently are expected to post different strike rates on their own, before either one has actually called anything better.

Across the whole corpus, every advertised pick yields +12.8% over 30,690 priced picks. The crowd's pick is 6.3 points ahead of that, but the interval on the difference spans -5.8% to +18.4% -- so it has not been shown to beat the corpus it was drawn from. A corpus whose whole 95% interval sits above zero (+9.5% to +16.2%) is describing what gets published and graded rather than an edge a bettor could have taken, so treat every absolute yield on this page as inflated and the gap between two of them as the number that means something.

Why yield, and not the win rate?

The side more tipsters back is usually the favourite, and favourites win more often at shorter prices. That is what a short price means, not evidence the crowd called it right — see the strike-rate/yield pair for the general case. Yield is the number that pays, so the verdict reads from it. Win rate stays visible because the gap between the two is itself the point.

Both are measured over advertised prices only. Some sources publish a probability rather than a price; a price derived from one carries no bookmaker margin and describes a bet nobody could have placed, so those tips are excluded from these four figures entirely.

What counts as a crowd, and whose crowd is it?

Two tips are the same fixture when they share an event, or name the same two teams on the same UTC day. A crowd needs three or more tips on the same market, and one selection has to beat every other individually — a tie has no winner to name.

"Most-backed" is a plurality, not a majority: on a three-way market a selection only has to beat each rival on its own. A split of 5 home / 4 draw / 3 away reads as 5 against 7. The other side is a mixture of whatever different bets those tipsters made, never one shared opposing view.

These groups are backed by 756 distinct tipsters across 13 distinct sources.

These figures speak for 54.4% of the settled corpus — 22,316 of 40,989 rows carry a fixture identity we can group on. The rest carry neither an event nor a verified kickoff, and are excluded rather than guessed at.

How many tips each fixture attracted
How many settled tips each identified fixture attracted, one row per tip count until the remaining fixtures no longer outnumber the row below them.
TipsFixtures
12,459
21,557
3762
4435
5321
6191
7143
8104
981
1050
1150
1246
1336
1435
1524
1624
1715
1811
1916
2013
219
224
237
2410
253
264
275
286
295
306
311
325
330
344
352
363
371
381
391
400
412
421
430
441
451
461
470
481
491
500
510
520
531
541
551
561
571
580
590
600
612
620
630
640
650
660
670
680
690
700
710
721
730
740
750
761
770
78+1

Where it holds up

The same comparison, cut three ways. Each column is a yield: what the crowd's pick returned against what everything else returned.

By how many agreed

Does a bigger pile-on pay more than a slim majority?

By how many agreed: what the most-backed selection and the rest of the field yielded in each bucket, over advertised prices only.
Tipsters agreeingCrowdsCrowd's pickThe field
3within noise659+22.04%+1.08%
4–5within noise421-9.08%+17.94%
6+within noise252+36.72%-0.13%

By market

Agreement on who wins and agreement on a total are not the same act.

By market: what the most-backed selection and the rest of the field yielded in each bucket, over advertised prices only.
MarketCrowdsCrowd's pickThe field
Match winnerwithin noise637+11.12%+9.43%
Over/Underwithin noise472+23.45%-2.74%
Asian handicapwithin noise164+14.30%+8.87%
Asian over underwithin noise21-7.24%+33.83%
Double chancewithin noise15+49.39%-32.25%
Handicapwithin noise10-9.97%+384.19%
Otherwithin noise13-69.47%—

By where the crowd came from

Tipsters on separate sites agreeing is a different fact from one site agreeing with itself.

By where the crowd came from: what the most-backed selection and the rest of the field yielded in each bucket, over advertised prices only.
CrowdCrowdsCrowd's pickThe field
Across sources842+28.00%-24.47%
Within one source490+9.87%+51.77%
Why the yields here can mislead

Read the Crowds column before the yields. These buckets hold very different numbers of crowds, and a striking figure over a handful of them is a small sample, not a finding about that market. A row marked within noise is one whose two yields cannot be told apart: the 95% interval on the difference between them still contains zero, so whatever gap the columns show is inside what ordinary variance produces on its own.

Bigger crowds also gather on bigger matches, and bigger matches carry shorter prices. A difference across the crowd-size buckets can be the prices talking rather than the crowd.

These three axes are around a dozen comparisons in total, each at 95% confidence. On that many, roughly one in twenty would clear the bar by chance alone even if nothing here were real, so a single separable row is weaker evidence than it looks. Two rows pointing in opposite directions on the same axis, as the crowd-composition split does, is the pattern that is hard to get by accident.

Method and limits

Why there are no upcoming fixtures here

Every crowd on this page has already played and been graded. A tip we observed on another site is never published before it settles: showing someone else's live pick would make this a substitute for the site we are checking rather than a check on it. That rule is in the methodology, and it is why there is no "tonight's consensus" board.

Which prices count

Advertised prices only. Some sources publish a probability instead of a price; deriving one from it (1/p) gives a number carrying no bookmaker margin, which flatters every return computed from it. Those tips still count towards who is in a crowd — an algorithm's tip is a real tip — but never towards a figure about money.

Why this page disagrees with the research study

This page reads the live corpus, so its figures move as tips settle. The corpus study closes its data at the start of each month so a number quoted from it is still there when someone checks. The two will report different figures for the same measurement, and neither is wrong. Cite the study; read this page.

Computed
2026-09-11 09:25 UTC
Cadence
Every request, live
Revisions
None — the corpus only grows