TipzyTipzy
PicksRecordsLeaguesMethodologyBookmakersBlog
TipzyTipzy

Independent tipster verification. We settle every published pick against the final result and report the record.

Explore

Tipster recordsLeaguesMethodologyFree tips studyBookmakersBlog

Tipsters

How we measure youRequest a correction

Company

ContactTerms of ServicePrivacy Policy

18+ · Regulatory compliance

Gambling is restricted to adults and can be addictive. The minimum legal age and the rules that apply to you depend on where you live — check your local jurisdiction before betting. Please play responsibly.

Gambling Therapy Gamblers Anonymous

© 2026 Tipzy. All rights reserved.

18+
HomeRecordsPicksBlog
← All records

NoSweatAFLBets

Publishes on Captracker · first tracked 2026-08-17

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

41

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Captracker or with NoSweatAFLBets, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Captracker and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Unprovenn=11

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

11

11 graded

Win rate

54.5%

95% CI 28%–79%

Profit

+0.4u

over 11u staked

Yield

+3.6%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

4

Longest losing streak

2

Current streak

L2

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

−2.1u

from a +2.4u peak · bottomed 2026-07-02

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 11

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±6.1u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Unmapped1154.5%+0.4u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
AFL1050.0%−0.5u
Play Offs↗Play Offs league page1—+0.9u

Recent settled picks

Clear

Fremantle vs Geelong

AFL

Won

Fremantle vs Geelong o177.5 pointsOver/Under

Tipster odds
1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91
Feed close
—
Score
GEEL 90 - FRE 99

2026-06-18*

Gold Coast vs Hawthorn Hawks

AFL

Lost

Gold Coast vs Hawthorn u177.5 pointsOver/Under

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
HAW 113 - SUNS 97

2026-06-19*

St Kilda vs Western Bulldogs

AFL

Lost

St Kilda vs Western Bulldogs o183.5 pointsOver/Under

Tipster odds
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93
Feed close
—
Score
WB 83 - STK 61

2026-06-21*

Geelong vs Brisbane

AFL

Lost

Geelong vs Brisbane u171.5 pointsOver/Under

Tipster odds
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93
Feed close
—
Score
BL 123 - GEEL 101

2026-07-02*

Gold Coast vs Collingwood

AFL

Won

Gold Coast vs Collingwood o171.5 pointsOver/Under

Tipster odds
1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89
Feed close
—
Score
COLL 104 - SUNS 98

2026-07-04*

Fremantle vs Sydney

AFL

Won

Fremantle vs Sydney o174.4 pointsOver/Under

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
SYD 73 - FRE 111

2026-07-09*

Fremantle vs Sydney

AFL

Won

Fremantle vs Sydney o174.5 pointsOver/Under

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
SYD 73 - FRE 111

2026-07-09*

Brisbane vs Essendon

AFL

Won

Brisbane vs Essendon o187.5 pointsOver/Under

Tipster odds
1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91
Feed close
—
Score
ESS 59 - BL 149

2026-07-12*

North Melbourne vs Melbourne

AFL

Lost

North Melbourne vs Melbourne o181.5 pointsOver/Under

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75
Feed close
—
Score
MELB 92 - NMFC 76

2026-07-18*

Adelaide vs Collingwood

AFL

Lost

Adelaide vs Collingwood u163.5Over/Under

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
COLL 108 - ADEL 74

2026-07-23*

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Fremantle vs GeelongAFL2026-06-18*Fremantle vs Geelong o177.5 pointsOver/Under1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91—GEEL 90 - FRE 99WON
Gold Coast vs Hawthorn HawksAFL2026-06-19*Gold Coast vs Hawthorn u177.5 pointsOver/Under1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90—HAW 113 - SUNS 97LOST
St Kilda vs Western BulldogsAFL2026-06-21*St Kilda vs Western Bulldogs o183.5 pointsOver/Under1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93—WB 83 - STK 61LOST
Geelong vs BrisbaneAFL2026-07-02*Geelong vs Brisbane u171.5 pointsOver/Under1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93—BL 123 - GEEL 101LOST
Gold Coast vs CollingwoodAFL2026-07-04*Gold Coast vs Collingwood o171.5 pointsOver/Under1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89—COLL 104 - SUNS 98WON
Fremantle vs SydneyAFL2026-07-09*Fremantle vs Sydney o174.4 pointsOver/Under1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90—SYD 73 - FRE 111WON
Fremantle vs SydneyAFL2026-07-09*Fremantle vs Sydney o174.5 pointsOver/Under1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90—SYD 73 - FRE 111WON
Brisbane vs EssendonAFL2026-07-12*Brisbane vs Essendon o187.5 pointsOver/Under1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91—ESS 59 - BL 149WON
North Melbourne vs MelbourneAFL2026-07-18*North Melbourne vs Melbourne o181.5 pointsOver/Under1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75—MELB 92 - NMFC 76LOST
Adelaide vs CollingwoodAFL2026-07-23*Adelaide vs Collingwood u163.5Over/Under1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90—COLL 108 - ADEL 74LOST

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

1–10 of 10· 5 won / 5 lost · −0.5u · −4.9% yield · of 12 total

Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.