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Rafael Moraes

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-18

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

39

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with Rafael Moraes, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Unprovenn=20

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

21

20 graded · 1 void

Win rate

45.0%

95% CI 26%–66%

Profit

−11.8u

over 59u staked

Yield

−20.1%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

2

Longest losing streak

3

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

−14.3u

from a 0.0u peak · bottomed 2026-08-26

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 20

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±23.2u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by team (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner1030.0%−12.7u
Over/Under8—−0.3u
Asian handicap3—+1.2u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
MLB↗MLB league page2145.0%−11.8u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 10h before kickoff — median over 19 picks with a captured kickoff.

New York Mets vs Houston Astros

MLB

Won

Full Event Over 8.5O/U

Tipster odds
1.81-12381/1000.81-1.23+0.81
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30* · tipped 3h before

Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals

MLB

Void

Full Event Over 8O/U

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-25* · tipped 7h before

Seattle Mariners vs Philadelphia Phillies

MLB

Lost

Full Event Over 7.5O/U

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-26* · tipped 10h before

New York Mets vs Houston Astros

MLB

Lost

Full Event AwayML

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-28 · tipped 2d 6h before

Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves

MLB

Lost

Full Event HomeML

Tipster odds
1.81-12381/1000.81-1.23+0.81
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23* · tipped 11h before

Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox

MLB

Won

Full Event Under 8.5O/U

Tipster odds
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-26 · tipped 2d 9h before

Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies

MLB

Won

Full Event Over 7.5O/U

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-24* · tipped 9h before

Athletics vs Minnesota Twins

MLB

Lost

Full Event Under 11.5O/U

Tipster odds
1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-27 · tipped 2d 12h before

Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers

MLB

Lost

Full Event AwayML

Tipster odds
1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-22* · tipped 10h before

Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland Guardians

MLB

Won

Full Event Home +2.00AH

Tipster odds
1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-22* · tipped 10h before

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati Reds

MLB

Won

Full Event HomeML

Tipster odds
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-22* · tipped 11h before

San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins

MLB

Lost

Full Event Away +1.50AH

Tipster odds
1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-22* · tipped 11h before

Chicago White Sox vs Texas Rangers

MLB

Lost

Full Event AwayML

Tipster odds
2.01+101101/1001.01+1.01-0.99
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-24 · tipped 3d 9h before

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays

MLB

Won

Full Event Home -1.00AH

Tipster odds
1.71-14171/1000.71-1.41+0.71
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-21* · tipped 7h before

Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

MLB

Lost

Full Event Over 7.5O/U

Tipster odds
1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-19* · tipped 9h before

Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals

MLB

Won

Full Event Over 7.5O/U

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-19* · tipped 10h before

Chicago White Sox vs Atlanta Braves

MLB

Lost

Full Event HomeML

Tipster odds
1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-20* · tipped 4h before

Milwaukee Brewers vs Seattle Mariners

MLB

Won

Full Event HomeML

Tipster odds
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-20* · tipped 4h before

Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals

MLB

Won

Full Event AwayML

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-20* · tipped 2h before

Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White Sox

MLB

Lost

Full Event HomeML

Tipster odds
1.74-13537/500.74-1.35+0.74
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-15*

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox

MLB

Lost

Full Event HomeML

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-15*

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
New York Mets vs Houston AstrosMLB2026-08-30*tipped 3h beforeFull Event Over 8.5O/U1.81-12381/1000.81-1.23+0.81——WON
Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City RoyalsMLB2026-08-25*tipped 7h beforeFull Event Over 8O/U1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72——VOID
Seattle Mariners vs Philadelphia PhilliesMLB2026-08-26*tipped 10h beforeFull Event Over 7.5O/U1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——LOST
New York Mets vs Houston AstrosMLB2026-08-28tipped 2d 6h beforeFull Event AwayML2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——LOST
Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta BravesMLB2026-08-23*tipped 11h beforeFull Event HomeML1.81-12381/1000.81-1.23+0.81——LOST
Miami Marlins vs Boston Red SoxMLB2026-08-26tipped 2d 9h beforeFull Event Under 8.5O/U1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60——WON
Washington Nationals vs Colorado RockiesMLB2026-08-24*tipped 9h beforeFull Event Over 7.5O/U1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79——WON
Athletics vs Minnesota TwinsMLB2026-08-27tipped 2d 12h beforeFull Event Under 11.5O/U1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68——LOST
Kansas City Royals vs Detroit TigersMLB2026-08-22*tipped 10h beforeFull Event AwayML1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87——LOST
Colorado Rockies vs Cleveland GuardiansMLB2026-08-22*tipped 10h beforeFull Event Home +2.00AH1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68——WON
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cincinnati RedsMLB2026-08-22*tipped 11h beforeFull Event HomeML1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70——WON
San Diego Padres vs Minnesota TwinsMLB2026-08-22*tipped 11h beforeFull Event Away +1.50AH1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57——LOST
Chicago White Sox vs Texas RangersMLB2026-08-24tipped 3d 9h beforeFull Event AwayML2.01+101101/1001.01+1.01-0.99——LOST
New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue JaysMLB2026-08-21*tipped 7h beforeFull Event Home -1.00AH1.71-14171/1000.71-1.41+0.71——WON
Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami MarlinsMLB2026-08-19*tipped 9h beforeFull Event Over 7.5O/U1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68——LOST
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis CardinalsMLB2026-08-19*tipped 10h beforeFull Event Over 7.5O/U1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69——WON
Chicago White Sox vs Atlanta BravesMLB2026-08-20*tipped 4h beforeFull Event HomeML1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97——LOST
Milwaukee Brewers vs Seattle MarinersMLB2026-08-20*tipped 4h beforeFull Event HomeML1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78——WON
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis CardinalsMLB2026-08-20*tipped 2h beforeFull Event AwayML1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96——WON
Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White SoxMLB2026-08-15*Full Event HomeML1.74-13537/500.74-1.35+0.74——LOST
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red SoxMLB2026-08-15*Full Event HomeML2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——LOST

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

1–21 of 21

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