Mattheus Xavier

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-06

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Tipzy Score

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with Mattheus Xavier, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=46

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

46 graded · 18 void

Win rate

60.9%

95% CI 46%–74%

Profit

+73.3u

over 230u staked

Yield

+31.9%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

Longest losing streak

Current streak

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

−15.8u

from a +73.4u peak · bottomed 2026-08-18

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 46

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±70.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

Market	Settled	Win rate	Profit
Asian handicap	42	53.3%	+11.3u
Over/Under	21	73.3%	+57.0u
Asian over under	1	—	+4.9u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

League	Settled	Win rate	Profit
Livebet	20	70.6%	+57.3u
Premier League	13	45.5%	−4.8u
Third qualifying round. First leg	4	—	+9.9u
MLS MLS league page	3	—	+4.9u
Round of 16. Second leg Round of 16. Second leg league page	3	—	−0.4u
Cup. First round	2	—	+1.3u
Cup. Round of 16. Second leg	2	—	—
Premier League. Season 26/27	2	—	+6.3u
Serie B	2	—	+5.0u
Cup. Quarter-finals. First leg	1	—	−5.0u
Cup. Quarter-finals. Second leg	1	—	+5.2u
Division 3	1	—	−5.0u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 5d 22h before kickoff — median over 17 picks with a captured kickoff.

Fluminense vs Palmeiras

Livebet

Won

Full Event Home +0.00AH

Tipster odds: 1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88
Feed close: —
Score: —

2026-08-15

Porto vs Alverca

Premier League

Lost

Full Event Home -0.50AH

Tipster odds: 2.32+13233/251.32+1.32-0.76
Feed close: —
Score: —

—

Palmeiras vs Internacional

Livebet

Won

Full Event Away +0.25AH

Tipster odds: 2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89
Feed close: —
Score: —

—

Benfica vs Academico Viseu

Premier League

Won

Full Event Away +0.25AH

Tipster odds: 1.84-11921/250.84-1.19+0.84
Feed close: —
Score: —

—

Flamengo vs Vitoria

Livebet

Lost

Full Event Home -1.50AH

Tipster odds: 2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85
Feed close: —
Score: —

—

Club America vs Portland Timbers

Group stage

Won

Full Event Home +0.00AH

Tipster odds: 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85
Feed close: —
Score: —

—

Goias vs Londrina

Serie B

Void

Full Event Home +0.00AH

Tipster odds: 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close: —
Score: —

—

Independiente Rivadavia vs Fluminense RJ

Second leg

Void

Full Event Away +0.00AH

Tipster odds: 3.15+21543/202.15+2.15-0.47
Feed close: —
Score: —

2026-08-18 · tipped 6d 22h before

Sao Paulo vs Bolivar

Round of 16. Second leg

Lost

Full Event Away +0.25AH

Tipster odds: 2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97
Feed close: —
Score: —

2026-08-19 · tipped 6d 22h before

Sao Paulo vs Bolivar

Round of 16. Second leg

Void

Full Event Away +0.00AH

Tipster odds: 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65
Feed close: —
Score: —

2026-08-19 · tipped 6d 22h before

Paredes vs Vitoria Guimaraes 2

Division 3

Lost

Full Event Home -0.25AH

Tipster odds: 2.39+139139/1001.39+1.39-0.72
Feed close: —
Score: —

2026-08-07 · tipped 3d 17h before

NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiacos Piraeus

Third qualifying round. Second leg

Void

Full Event Away +0.00AH

Tipster odds: 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71
Feed close: —
Score: —

2026-08-11 · tipped 6d 21h before

Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense

Cup. Round of 16. Second leg

Void

Full Event Home -1.00AH

Tipster odds: 2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85
Feed close: —
Score: —

—

Gremio vs Mirassol

Cup. Round of 16. Second leg

Void

Full Event Home +0.00AH

Tipster odds: 2.27+127127/1001.27+1.27-0.79
Feed close: —
Score: —

—

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Rangers

Third qualifying round. First leg

Void

Full Event Home +0.00AH

Tipster odds: 2.44+14436/251.44+1.44-0.69
Feed close: —
Score: —

—

Benfica vs Hearts

Third qualifying round. First leg

Won

Full Event Home -2.00AH

Tipster odds: 2.04+10426/251.04+1.04-0.96
Feed close: —
Score: —

—

Benfica vs Hearts

Third qualifying round. First leg

Won

Full Event Home -0.75AH

Tipster odds: 1.94-10647/500.94-1.06+0.94
Feed close: —
Score: —

—

Match	Played	Selection	Tipster odds	Feed close	Score	Result
Fluminense vs PalmeirasLivebet	2026-08-15	Full Event Home +0.00AH	1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88	—	—	WON
Porto vs AlvercaPremier League	—	Full Event Home -0.50AH	2.32+13233/251.32+1.32-0.76	—	—	LOST
Palmeiras vs InternacionalLivebet	—	Full Event Away +0.25AH	2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89	—	—	WON
Benfica vs Academico ViseuPremier League	—	Full Event Away +0.25AH	1.84-11921/250.84-1.19+0.84	—	—	WON
Flamengo vs VitoriaLivebet	—	Full Event Home -1.50AH	2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85	—	—	LOST
Club America vs Portland TimbersGroup stage	—	Full Event Home +0.00AH	1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85	—	—	WON
Goias vs LondrinaSerie B	—	Full Event Home +0.00AH	1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83	—	—	VOID
Independiente Rivadavia vs Fluminense RJSecond leg	2026-08-18tipped 6d 22h before	Full Event Away +0.00AH	3.15+21543/202.15+2.15-0.47	—	—	VOID
Sao Paulo vs BolivarRound of 16. Second leg	2026-08-19tipped 6d 22h before	Full Event Away +0.25AH	2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97	—	—	LOST
Sao Paulo vs BolivarRound of 16. Second leg	2026-08-19tipped 6d 22h before	Full Event Away +0.00AH	2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65	—	—	VOID
Paredes vs Vitoria Guimaraes 2Division 3	2026-08-07tipped 3d 17h before	Full Event Home -0.25AH	2.39+139139/1001.39+1.39-0.72	—	—	LOST
NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiacos PiraeusThird qualifying round. Second leg	2026-08-11tipped 6d 21h before	Full Event Away +0.00AH	2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71	—	—	VOID
Cruzeiro vs ChapecoenseCup. Round of 16. Second leg	—	Full Event Home -1.00AH	2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85	—	—	VOID
Gremio vs MirassolCup. Round of 16. Second leg	—	Full Event Home +0.00AH	2.27+127127/1001.27+1.27-0.79	—	—	VOID
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs RangersThird qualifying round. First leg	—	Full Event Home +0.00AH	2.44+14436/251.44+1.44-0.69	—	—	VOID
Benfica vs HeartsThird qualifying round. First leg	—	Full Event Home -2.00AH	2.04+10426/251.04+1.04-0.96	—	—	WON
Benfica vs HeartsThird qualifying round. First leg	—	Full Event Home -0.75AH	1.94-10647/500.94-1.06+0.94	—	—	WON

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

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